Category: Investment flash

The publication of the inflation figures for August did not confirm the hopes of investors who were hoping for a further decline in prices. The fall in commodity prices was insufficient to compensate for the persistent pressure on rents and food prices. The Federal Reserve should therefore logically maintain its tightening monetary policy as expected [...]

The unexpected 0.10% cut in Chinese one-year rates announced by the PBoC on Monday, seven months after its previous cut, underscores the Chinese authorities' concern about the economy. By international comparison, inflation in China appears to be contained with the consumer price index rising in July to +2.7% (...) Repositioning opportunities in Chinese equities? Discover [...]

The recession scenario has spread quite widely in the financial markets for several months, pushing commodity prices down significantly. Oil prices have thus fallen by almost -30% since their double top in March and June above $120/b. The US WTI price ($87.8/bbl) is now close to its October 2021 level again and is trading almost [...]

July proved to be an excellent month for most financial assets, but clearly not for hedge funds (+0.5%), which largely underperformed during this period of recovery in international equities (+7.9%), real estate (+6.9%), private equity (+17.9%) and bonds (+2.1%). Overall, hedge funds do not seem to have anticipated the stock market recovery short covering the [...]

On August 10, US inflation for July will be published and will certainly show a much-awaited inflection point after the +9.1% figure for the previous month, in a context of a notable drop in commodity prices since June 8 (-14.6% S&PGSI Commodity Index). While a decline in inflationary pressures is likely, it will not challenge [...]

Another negative surprise in the United States on the inflation front, which exceeded expectations in June with an increase of +9.1% (consensus +8.8%). But the real surprise is perhaps hidden behind (...) Us inflation of +9.1% did not produce the expected reaction Discover our Investment Flash down below Read more To make sure you don't [...]

The last stock market week before the publication of the US inflation figures on July 13 was particularly uncertain. A few days before the announcement of the US CPI expected to rise from +8.6% in May to +8.8% for the month of June, the markets hesitated and the compasses seemed to panic (..) June inflation [...]

The release of the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow indicator surprisingly indicated a sharp drop in a few days in the US GDP from +0.72% on June 28 to -2.07% on July 1st. The U.S. economy would therefore have already entered a recession by June 30, according to this indicator thus upsetting current expectations of (...) Fixed [...]

After falling sharply from a high of $123.6 on June 14, WTI oil prices rebounded above $110 before the OPEC+ meeting, but are expected to end the month with their first monthly decline since November 2021. After a +9.5% rise in May, a stabilization or even a decline of -3 to -5% in June should [...]