Category: Investment flash

26 Jun

Geopolitics have eclipsed tariff risks

Between extreme concerns about a blockage of the Strait of Hormuz following the bombing of Iran's nuclear sites at weekend, and Trump's declaration of an imminent ceasefire between Iran and Israel, assessing geopolitical risks and their possible implications for [...] Macroeconomic risks and uncertainties are likely to return Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read [...]
18 Jun

Precious metals benefit from growing uncertainty

After an already extraordinary year in 2024 (+27.2%), gold continues its upward trajectory and is set to close the first half of the year with a +30% increase. With uncertainty over customs duties likely to return in a few days, the outbreak of [...] Attractive diversification in silver and palladium Discover our Investment Flash down [...]
11 Jun

Deflation, low interest rates and a strong Swiss franc

The publication of the Swiss consumer price index (CPI) for May has brought the SNB face to face with the growing risk of deflation in our country. On a year-on-year basis, [...] Deflation worries the SNB, which will lower rates to weaken the Swiss franc Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make [...]
28 May

U.S. CDS surge to exceed even China’s

Four months of chaotic policies on a number of fronts and increasingly problematic financing of US debt have been enough to significantly alter international investors' perception of [...] International investors lose confidence in U.S. debt Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any of our publications and have [...]
21 May

Crude oil price below break-even point

Since the start of the second quarter and the disclosure of Trump's aggressive policy of tariff hikes, the risks of recession have risen considerably. The publication of the first-quarter US GDP confirmed [...] The oil industry and Saudi Arabia need a rebound in oil prices Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make [...]
14 May

The truce with China will not prevent a recession

The financial markets reacted positively to the first truce on April 7 and the second granted to China on May 12. These truces are far from being an announcement of future trade agreements that would allow [...] The 10% tariffs will remain four times higher than the previous 2.3% duties Discover our Investment Flash down [...]
07 May

Excessive optimism on Wall Street

After the shock of April 2nd and the subsequent collapse of the markets, the “relief rally” that developed on the announcement of the 90-day postponement of the introduction of “reciprocal” tariffs is now probably [...] It's time once again to reduce risk in U.S. equities Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make [...]
30 Apr

Trump is set to cause a recession

The publication of US GDP for the 1st quarter is imminent, while the consensus forecasters are steadily lowering their estimates to just +0.3% annualized. The shock could be [...] The Federal Reserve won't be able to remain indifferent for long Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any [...]
23 Apr

The worst is not yet certain for the dollar

In our Flash of January 22nd, 2025, we warned that expectations seemed extreme for the dollar, whose trade-weighted index (108) we expected to slide over the next few months. Today, our expectations have [...] After a -10% fall, the time for a rebound is certainly approaching Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To [...]
17 Apr

China’s GDP is not so sensitive to tariffs

China has announced economic incentives in recent months in an attempt to boost domestic demand, while the trade war with the USA rages on. China had prepared for this by [...] Chinese exports to the United States account for only 3% of GDP Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you [...]