Sharp slowdown in Japan: GDP drops by -0.6% in Q3


10 Dec

Sharp slowdown in Japan: GDP drops by -0.6% in Q3

Sharpest contraction of GDP since 2014. Economic rally in Q4. Stabilisation of the yen. Leading indicators weighed down by uncertainty. Inflation reaches +1.4%. Nikkei on the upswing.

Key points

  • Unexpected growth shock in Q3; Japanese GDP dropped by -0.6%, or -2.5% yoy
  • Exports pick up in Q4
  • Trade balance turned negative
  • Imports jumped by +19.9%
  • Increase in wages not sufficient to boost consumption
  • Leading indicators weighed down by uncertainty
  • Yen weaker still in 2019
  • Inflation reached +1.4%
  • Outlook still mediocre for Japanese bonds
  • Nikkei and Japanese stocks on the upswing