Geopolitics also threaten swiss growth


07 Mar

Geopolitics also threaten swiss growth

Revision of the current economic outlook. Likely increase in inflation. Significant threats to purchasing power and household consumption. In ten weeks, Swiss
equities erase their 2021 gains.

Key points

  • Unsurprisingly, Swiss GDP slowed at the end of the year (+0.3%) but is still growing at +3.7%/year
  • Q1 is expected to be a mixed bag
  • The geopolitical crisis in Europe threatens growth prospects in H1
  • Leading indicators expected to weaken
  • Surprise rise in inflation to +2% in February 2022
  • What can the SNB do in the face of soaring inflation?
  • The franc temporarily regains parity with the euro
  • Risks of recession and stagflation in 2022
  • Swiss equities erase their 2021 gain