Weakening outlook for the Nikkei


05 Oct

Weakening outlook for the Nikkei

Positive economic situation in Japan. Mixed leading indicators. Weak yen pushes inflation up. Monetary policy still expansionary. Interest-free bond yields. Weakening outlook for the Nikkei.

Key points

  • Very positive revision of Japanese GDP in Q2 (+3.5%)
  • Less favourable outlook for the current quarter
  • Leading indicators still moderately optimistic
  • Surprising increase in retail sales in a still sluggish consumer climate
  • Trade deficit widens further
  • Japanese inflation advances but remains subdued
  • BoJ to change policy slowly
  • Japanese bonds still offer no interest
  • Target 150 for the yen/USD exchange rate?
  • Weakening outlook for the Nikkei index