05
Oct

Weakening outlook for the Nikkei
Positive economic situation in Japan. Mixed leading indicators. Weak yen pushes inflation up. Monetary policy still expansionary. Interest-free bond yields. Weakening outlook for the Nikkei.
Key points
- Very positive revision of Japanese GDP in Q2 (+3.5%)
- Less favourable outlook for the current quarter
- Leading indicators still moderately optimistic
- Surprising increase in retail sales in a still sluggish consumer climate
- Trade deficit widens further
- Japanese inflation advances but remains subdued
- BoJ to change policy slowly
- Japanese bonds still offer no interest
- Target 150 for the yen/USD exchange rate?
- Weakening outlook for the Nikkei index