Category: Investment flash

After the recent correction of almost -10% in gold prices and -15% in silver prices, we feel it is worth taking another look at the outlook for precious metals. As we have frequently mentioned, the driving force behind gold's structural rise is solid demand from central banks and the BRICS countries. In our view, the [...]

Swiss inflation recorded its 2nd consecutive month of contraction in October (-0.1%), following a drop of -0.3% in September. It now stands at +0.6% year-on-year, its lowest level since July 2021, while the core CPI index falls to +0.8%. The trend in consumer prices surprised economists, who were expecting (...) The battle to weaken the [...]

D. Trump was elected at the end of a presidential campaign that all observers seemed to agree would produce an extremely close result on election night. In the end, the biggest surprise was (...) How long can post-election enthusiasm last? Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any [...]

October was marked by negative performances for bonds. The approach of the US elections was certainly one of the main factors driving profit-taking in the financial markets, but geopolitical risks also contributed to (...) Trump trade expectations versus current economic reality Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss [...]

The latest BRICS summit in Russia was once again an opportunity to reinforce the project to create a BRICS currency backed by gold reserves, called the “Unit”. Whereas 100% of oil transactions used to be carried out in USD, now almost (...) Impact for the time being rather favorable to gold Discover our Investment Flash [...]

Global crude supply is now stabilized by the reduction in production by OPEC countries, which have cut their output by 6 mbpd, already representing 6% of current world demand. OPEC's position does not look set to change in the short term, as its objective remains to (...) Potential target of $90-95 a barrel in 2025 [...]

By lowering rates by 50 bps, it has decided to erase its last two hikes of May and July 2023, but we believe it is implicitly acknowledging that it could perhaps have already acted in June with an initial 25 bp cut. The monetary easing cycle is therefore now (...) Six more rate cuts before [...]

The eurozone economy has recorded two consecutive quarters of moderate growth. Despite the ECB's change of monetary policy in June, we do not anticipate any acceleration in economic activity over the next few quarters. Leading indicators remain (...) ECB rate cuts likely to accelerate Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure [...]

The Chinese authorities have finally announced new economic support and stimulus measures. The People's Bank of China reduced its benchmark interest rate from 1.7% to 1.5%, and also announced a 0.5% cut in the banks' reserve requirement ratio (RRR), freeing up almost (...) Measures that should be enough to revive interest in Chinese stocks Discover [...]

Since our recommendation in November 2023 in favor of Swiss securitized real estate, our expectations of declining inflation and the SNB's change in monetary policy, which were expected to boost the appeal of funds and listed companies, the trend has clearly been (...) Attractive yields, risk premiums and agios Discover our Investment Flash down below: [...]