Category: Investment flash

26 Mar

Liberation day supports short-term markets

With only a week to go until April 2nd, Liberation Day, when Trump's tariff policy will be detailed, uncertainty remains very high, even if it seems that financial markets are tempted to “bet” on further White House backtracking, as suggested by [...] But the risk of recession is rising dangerously Discover our Investment Flash down [...]
19 Mar

Should gold be sold at USD 3,000 ?

The price of the yellow metal reached and surpassed the USD 3,000 per ounce threshold, recording another exceptional +16.5% rise since the beginning of the year, after an already extraordinary year in 2024 (+27.2%). Should we therefore [...] Uncertainty dominates markets and boosts yellow metal prices Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To [...]
12 Mar

The rise in VIX is not the end of risk-off mode

For several months now, we have been talking about the fact that Trump's policies will have a faster impact on the confidence and the investment climate than on [...] The risk reduction process is not yet complete Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any of our publications [...]
05 Mar

The yield curve forecasts a recession

During the last three US recessions (2001, 2008 and 2020), yield curves normalized each time, with short rates falling twice as fast as long rates. This followed episodes of [...] Atlanta Fed's GDPNow is a fresh warning Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any of our publications [...]
24 Feb

« Warning sign » at Wall Street ?

After one month as president, Donald Trump has seen his popularity rating fall to a level never before reached by an elected president. This decline is largely due to his aggressive and unapologetic policy of stunning his political and economic opponents with extreme (...) Reducing risk in the face of increasing uncertainty Discover our Investment [...]
19 Feb

Favoring European and American small caps

From a relative point of view, small and mid-cap stocks in Europe and the United States have performed less brilliantly than large-cap stocks in recent quarters. Since the start of 2024, Europe's 50 largest stocks (SX5E) have gained +26.5% in euros in almost 14 months, while (...) New opportunities outside the blue chips Discover our [...]
11 Feb

Positive outlook for Swiss secondary stocks

The domestic context of low interest rates, inflation under control, a declining exchange rate at last, and expected earnings growth of +19%, is generally favorable to a rise in Swiss small caps in 2025. They will benefit from this environment to a greater extent than in 2024, not least because of the change in sentiment [...]
06 Feb

A new serious dilemma for the Fed

Whether or not there will be a tariff war in 2025 is undoubtedly premature, but we are rapidly moving towards a first round of tough confrontation. We'll have to wait and see whether (...) Tariff hikes threaten GDP more than CPI Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss [...]
27 Jan

New opportunity for Chinese equities

Chinese equities have been under pressure for several months due to fears and threats to Chinese exports from a massive tariff hike forcefully announced by D. Trump. The Shenzen index slipped a (...) Chinese government and D. Trump offer new perspectives Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss [...]
27 Jan

Beware of the extreme expectations on the dollar

After declining by -4.8% in Q3, the dollar index rose by +9.1% on January 14, 2025, just over three months later. Anticipation of Trump's presidential victory was one of the main factors behind this rise, which was largely fuelled by (...) Momentum likely to be lost after Trump's inauguration Discover our Investment Flash down below: [...]