Category: Investment flash

07 Dec

Silver prices do not reflect fundamentals

The silver prices do not reflect the very positive fundamentals of the current market. Industrial and jewelry demand are expected to show strong growth over the next decade. In particular, the demand for silver in the rapidly expanding solar sector is extremely robust, as is the demand related to the production of electric vehicles. These [...]
30 Nov

Less favorable environment for Nikkei

Japanese corporate profits are likely to have risen by 14% in Q3 and, according to the current consensus, should increase by a further 11.4% in 2024. On the basis of these results and expectations, the Japanese market advanced until June and then stabilised. It outperformed the other developed markets in local currencies, gaining (...) The [...]
22 Nov

Swiss real estate favored by a 1% 10-year rate

After the sharp rise in the Swiss Confederation's ten-year yields to 1.6% in December 2022 and March 2023, the long end of the CHF yield curve steepened fairly sharply over the summer. Ten-year yields then followed the international uptrend from June to October, before falling back (...) Attractive yields, risk premiums and agios Discover our [...]
16 Nov

Improvement of the stock market climate for small-cap stocks  

The Nasdaq technology stock index has significantly outperformed the Russell 2000 small-cap index. The outperformance of +43% in 2023 is massive and is the largest since the internet bubble of 1999. At that time, the performance gap was twice as wide, leading some to believe that the Nasdaq's relative performance still has (...) Interest rate [...]
09 Nov

Fall in SNB and M3 foreign exchange reserves  

The SNB is perhaps no longer as concerned about the level of inflation now that it appears to have been contained at +0.1%/month for the past five months. This development should clearly allow the SNB to consider that its action has been effective, since core inflation is now (...) SNB will ease its policy well [...]
26 Oct

1,000 Billion Yuan for the Chinese economy

The Chinese government has adopted a strategy resolutely geared towards supporting economic growth, announcing the issue of 1,000 billion yuan of sovereign debt in recent days. This injection of liquidity complements other measures, and will be (...) More is needed to stimulate growth Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you [...]
18 Oct

European securitized real estate trades at 50% of net assets

Securitized real estate in Europe is still perhaps wrongly suffering from the effects of inflation, the ECB's restrictive monetary policy and the interest-rate pressures of the past two years. The EPRA Nareit Eurozone index is struggling to stabilize after falling 28% between February and March. Since then, it has been fluctuating within a band of [...]
11 Oct

Rates and the dollar have finished penalizing gold prices

After rising by almost +13% in the first four months of the year, gold prices then slowly eroded as the US Federal Reserve tightened monetary conditions and bond yields rose, not only in dollars but in other major currencies too. The fall of the last few days of September, directly correlated with (...) Upward trend [...]
04 Oct

Gas prices to rise 30% by the end of December

The recent rise in crude oil prices has brought us close to our short-term target of $90-95 per barrel of WTI. At this price level, we believe we can assess the potential for crude oil substitution, and in particular the evolution of natural gas demand. The fall in US natural gas prices (...) Gas market [...]
27 Sep

The Fed’s pause will be long-lasting

The Fed decided not to touch its key rates on 09/20, and in our view this marks the start of a long phase of stability which will soon be seen as the end of one of the most rapid and severe monetary tightening cycles in recent history. Between what the Fed Chairman can't say, what [...]