26
Jun
Between extreme concerns about a blockage of the Strait of Hormuz following the bombing of Iran's nuclear sites at weekend, and Trump's declaration of an imminent ceasefire between Iran and Israel, assessing geopolitical risks and their possible implications for [...] Macroeconomic risks and uncertainties are likely to return Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read [...]
24
Jun
Surprise rebound in GDP. Leading indicators uncertain. Inflation remains stubborn. BoE to remain cautious until September. High risk premium for bonds. Securitized real estate trending positively. Loss of momentum for the FTSE100. Key points Surprising rebound in Q1 GDP exceeds expectations International uncertainty weighs on the UK economy Leading indicators point to a transition Real [...]
18
Jun
After an already extraordinary year in 2024 (+27.2%), gold continues its upward trajectory and is set to close the first half of the year with a +30% increase. With uncertainty over customs duties likely to return in a few days, the outbreak of [...] Attractive diversification in silver and palladium Discover our Investment Flash down [...]
17
Jun
A particularly robust Q1. Growth expected to slow in Q2. Leading indicators uncertain and mixed. Switzerland back in deflation. SNB to cut rates in June. Swiss franc likely to weaken. Increasing risks for equities. Key points A surprisingly robust first quarter for the GDP High risks of growth slowing in Q2 More nuanced and contrasting [...]
11
Jun
The publication of the Swiss consumer price index (CPI) for May has brought the SNB face to face with the growing risk of deflation in our country. On a year-on-year basis, [...] Deflation worries the SNB, which will lower rates to weaken the Swiss franc Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make [...]
10
Jun
Slowdown in growth. Mixed leading indicators. Inflation still too high. Halt to the normalisation of BoJ policy. Lower risks on long-term rates. The yen may appreciate further. The Nikkei is plateauing. Key points Slowdown in consumption and exports in Q1 Uncertainty remains high for Q2 Leading indicators still mixed Consumption resilient but still cautious Inflation [...]
28
May
Four months of chaotic policies on a number of fronts and increasingly problematic financing of US debt have been enough to significantly alter international investors' perception of [...] International investors lose confidence in U.S. debt Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any of our publications and have [...]
21
May
Since the start of the second quarter and the disclosure of Trump's aggressive policy of tariff hikes, the risks of recession have risen considerably. The publication of the first-quarter US GDP confirmed [...] The oil industry and Saudi Arabia need a rebound in oil prices Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make [...]
14
May
The financial markets reacted positively to the first truce on April 7 and the second granted to China on May 12. These truces are far from being an announcement of future trade agreements that would allow [...] The 10% tariffs will remain four times higher than the previous 2.3% duties Discover our Investment Flash down [...]
07
May
After the shock of April 2nd and the subsequent collapse of the markets, the “relief rally” that developed on the announcement of the 90-day postponement of the introduction of “reciprocal” tariffs is now probably [...] It's time once again to reduce risk in U.S. equities Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make [...]
