Warning: Chinese PPI posts sharpest rise since 2008


10 Mar

Warning: Chinese PPI posts sharpest rise since 2008

Strong producer price growth (+7.8%). China will export inflation. Positive GDP outlook. Surge in external demand. Increase in profits in China in 2017.

Key points

  • Growth in China’s PPI (+7.8%) reinforces global inflation prospects
  • Increase in export prices of +6.3%
  • Li Keqiang announces growth target for 2017 of 6.5%
  • A positive surprise for China’s GDP cannot be ruled out in 2017
  • Recovery expected for Chinese exports
  • Optimistic leading indicators
  • Record imports and exceptional foreign trade deficit in February
  • Monetary policy is still accommodative
  • Stabilisation of foreign reserves
  • Better outlook for equities in 2017
  • Revaluation of Chinese equities