The need for and limitations of hedging currency risks


31 Aug

The need for and limitations of hedging currency risks

The Euro has risen +7%, hitting our medium-term target of 1.15, and recovering 75% of 2015’s fall. The cost of hedging US dollar positions has now hit 2.2%/year.

Key points

  • The Euro has risen +7%, achieving our medium-term target of 1.15
  • The Swiss franc has once again lost 75% of the appreciation caused by dropping the Euro floor
  • The rise in the Swiss franc is now limited to +4.2% against the Euro, and +5% against the US dollar
  • Currency risk management remains an important issue for institutional investors
  • The cost of hedging depends on interest rates
  • The theoretical cost of hedging stands at an average of 60% of the depreciation in the exchange rate
  • Systematic hedging would cost on average 1.8% per annum for US$, and 1.2% for the Euro
  • It is time to review systematic hedging strategies for international bonds