More attractive risk premium for US government debt


11 Dec

More attractive risk premium for US government debt

Economic momentum slows. Weakened employment and consumption. Priority to growth.
Unavoidable continuation of deficit monetisation. Rising earnings for equities.

Key points

  • GDP momentum expected to slow sharply in Q4
  • Employment remains fragile and could penalise
    consumption.
  • The four priorities of the new US president
  • Rising government deficit and risks of structural
    depreciation of the US dollar
  • Post-Covid debt financing implies further
    monetisation of new issuance
  • The Fed can only stay the course
  • The rise in long-term rates increases the relative
    attractiveness of the bond market
  • Exceptional rebound in corporate profits