More favorable outlook after one last BNS rate hike in 2023


12 Sep

More favorable outlook after one last BNS rate hike in 2023

GDP growth slowed. Inflation stabilizes below 2%. End of key rate hike cycle imminent. Potential weakness of the Swiss franc. Stabilization of yields. Bullish recovery for equities.

Key points

  • Swiss economy slows sharply in Q2, with seasonally adjusted real GDP stagnating
  • Private consumption and service exports on the rise
  • Leading indicators still not very encouraging
  • Inflation stabilizes below the SNB’s +2% target
  • SNB policy more restrictive than it seems
  • Yield differentials unfavorable to the franc
  • Stabilizing rates and low capital gains potential
  • Renewed uptrend in equities