Category: Weekly Analysis

Recession likely in 2nd half. Leading indicators fall. Household confidence erodes. Inflation finally falls. End of rate hike cycle. Real estate consolidates. Attractive valuation of equities. Key points Resurgence of risks to the British economy Recession in the 2nd half Further worrying declines in leading indicators Significant downturns in the job market Household confidence and [...]

Risks of recession loom large. Inflation falling too slowly. Key rates towards 5%. Rising yield curves. Appreciation of the euro. Attractive valuations for securitized real estate and European equities. Key points Eurozone economy avoids recession with +0.1% growth in Q2 Further stagnation in quarterly GDP in Q3 and Q4 Leading indicators point to recession Confidence [...]

Surprising export-led GDP growth. Inflation still in decline. Reduced trade deficit. Expansive monetary policy. Yen's decline falters. Attractive profits for Nikkei companies. Key points Japanese economy surprises with +1.2% growth in Q2 and positive outlook once again Positive trend for the 2nd half Leading indicators still very uncertain Fall in real household income External account [...]

GDP growth slowed. Inflation stabilizes below 2%. End of key rate hike cycle imminent. Potential weakness of the Swiss franc. Stabilization of yields. Bullish recovery for equities. Key points Swiss economy slows sharply in Q2, with seasonally adjusted real GDP stagnating Private consumption and service exports on the rise Leading indicators still not very encouraging [...]

Gradual reduction in uncertainty. Positive impact of falling inflation and the end of the rate-tightening cycle. Attractive valuations of listed real estate indices in Europe and the UK. Relative yields and agios also attractive in Switzerland. Key points Risks discounted, current prices represent real investment opportunities A particularly favorable price/net asset ratio for European real [...]

SMART BRC+ Yield enhanement : a BBGI concept focused on the use of BRCs Key points A brief overview and classification of structured products? Institutional and privae investors increasingly conviced The 3 main forms of structured products Demystifying supposed risks Flexible instruments for all types of markets How to assess their effeciveness? SMAR BRC+ Yield [...]

Moderate economic slowdown. CPI at 3% in sight. Labour market eases. End of monetary tightening cycle. Sharpest drop in short-term rates. Dollar declines. Broader participation of equities in the upside. Key points US economic momentum remains solid Moderate slowdown in Q2 (+1.2%) Leading indicators point to a slowdown Significant easing in the job market The [...]

Limited recession in 2023. Inflation surprises the ECB. End of restrictive cycle closer to 5%. Rising yield curves. Appreciation of the euro. Attractive valuations for securitized real estate and European equities. Key points The European economy is still at a standstill The 2nd quarter is likely to remain very weak Leading indicators show further declines [...]

Reduced risk of recession. Wages support purchasing power. Inflation declining too slowly. Relaunch of rate hike cycle. Capital and real estate markets in disarray. Favorable valuations for equities. Key points British economy still flirting with recession Difficult 2nd quarter ahead Further worrying declines in leading indicators Nominal wages continue to rise Household confidence strengthens gradually [...]

0.7% acceleration in Japanese GDP. Household confidence remains hesitant. Trade deficit down 66%. Inflation falls to +3.2%. Expansive monetary policy. Nikkei at 33-year high. Key points Japanese economy recovers strongly in Q1, growing more strongly than expected (+0.7%) Slower growth in Q2 Slightly more encouraging leading indicators Slight improvement in consumer confidence Trade deficit decreases [...]