Weekly analysis


17 Aug

SNB balance sheet down 20% in one year

The SNB still seems concerned about the level of inflation, despite the very sharp decline in price indices, which pushed the annual CPI (+1.6%) below its target (+2%). It is still considering further increases to ensure (...) Beware of a more restrictive monetary policy than you might think Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read [...]
09 Aug

US Treasury pulls rates up with record issuance

Fitch's downgrading of the US Treasury's long-term credit rating from AAA to AA+ is unlikely to have a major impact on the US government's ability to borrow on the markets. But this decision comes at the wrong time, when (...) Yet falling inflation suggests lower yields Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To [...]
04 Aug

Optimizing an investment strategy with structured produts

SMART BRC+ Yield enhanement : a BBGI concept focused on the use of BRCs Key points A brief overview and classification of structured products? Institutional and privae investors increasingly conviced The 3 main forms of structured products Demystifying supposed risks Flexible instruments for all types of markets How to assess their effeciveness? SMAR BRC+ Yield [...]
02 Aug

The euro bond market has not bottomed out

Eurozone GDP rose by +0.3% in Q2, putting an end to two quarterly sequences of stagnation, while core inflation no longer slipped, stabilizing at +5.5% in July. This modest return to growth, in an environment that is still too inflationary, should not (...) Growth and inflation will push rates even higher Discover our Investment Flash [...]
26 Jul

Opportunities in securitized real estate

The fall in listed real estate values has now reached levels which, in our view, already largely reflect the risks associated with a possible increase in debt refinancing difficulties for lots of real estate companies. For many of them, current price levels (...) High discounts compared to intrinsic values Discover our Investment Flash down below: [...]
19 Jul

Major overhaul of NASDAQ weightings

U.S. equities benefited above all from the renewed interest in the Nasdaq's blue-chip stocks, and the recent enthusiasm for Artificial Intelligence. While the FANG+ index jumped by +81%, the S&P500 recorded a much (...) Overweight securities other than FANG+ Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any of [...]
12 Jul

Positiv earnings surprises for S&P500 companies

In recent months, equity markets have shown excellent resilience despite the tighter interest rate environment in May and June, and the Fed's recent standstill. The S&P500 index continued its upward trend up +10% since the start of the year. Our expectations of a bullish recovery in the equity markets supported by (...) Extended participation in [...]
07 Jul

Flattening of the USD yield curve

Moderate economic slowdown. CPI at 3% in sight. Labour market eases. End of monetary tightening cycle. Sharpest drop in short-term rates. Dollar declines. Broader participation of equities in the upside. Key points US economic momentum remains solid Moderate slowdown in Q2 (+1.2%) Leading indicators point to a slowdown Significant easing in the job market The [...]
05 Jul

OPEP wants a more expensive barrel

Since its announcement at the beginning of April, aimed at countering the speculative downward spiral in oil prices, OPEC+ countries have indeed reduced their production. But the reduction was only around 0.2 mb/d, significantly less than expected, and was offset by the rise in US shale oil production. Saudi Arabia's announcement today that it will [...]
29 Jun

Favor real estate and equities over european bonds

Limited recession in 2023. Inflation surprises the ECB. End of restrictive cycle closer to 5%. Rising yield curves. Appreciation of the euro. Attractive valuations for securitized real estate and European equities. Key points The European economy is still at a standstill The 2nd quarter is likely to remain very weak Leading indicators show further declines [...]