Weekly analysis


09 Feb

Investors still underexposed in equities

The rise in financial assets in January came at a time when most investors still seemed cautious and underweight in equities. Despite the change in the inflation trend and the decline in bond yields many (...) The return of FOMO could support an upcoming bullish recovery Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To [...]
01 Feb

Cyclical consumption catching up in the USA

The consumer cyclical sector was particularly affected in 2022 by investor fears that consumers would cut back on non-essential spending in the face of rising inflation and declining purchasing power. Fears of a (...) Adjustment to less pessimistic economic outlook Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any [...]
30 Jan

Style rotation time : Growth or Value ?

At the beginning of the results publication's season for US companies, it is already interesting to note that most companies have announced results in line with or above expectations, which have been reduced for some time. (...) This is once again the time to favor growth stocks Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more [...]
18 Jan

Beware of industrial metal shortages in 2023

Chinese demand, which had contracted compared to previous years due to health policy, was partially offset by the still strong demand from developed countries supported by the energy transition. Despite fairly positive (...) China's renewed growth reinforces imbalances Discover our Investment Flash down below: Read more To make sure you don't miss any of our [...]
11 Jan

New records for gold prices in 2023

In an environment that is particularly unsettled by geopolitical risks, soaring inflation, historically high yields and a sharp reversal of more restrictive monetary policies, gold has done a relatively good job of protecting the value of investors who had confidence in (...) Increase in dedicated allocation in diversified portfolios Discover our Investment Flash down below: [...]
10 Jan

Commodities: imbalances will persist in 2023

180 degree turn by the Chinese government. Total opening of the country. Growth to resume in 2023. Energy sector supported by Asia. Historically low metal stocks and potential demand increases in 2023. High potential for appreciation in metal prices in the coming year. Key points End of China's zero Covid policy upsets forecasts Oil demand [...]
27 Dec

Positive outlook for US assets in 2023

GDP decline in Q1 2023. Deterioration of leading indicators. Recession inevitable in H2 2023? Consumption slows down. Inflation under control? End of monetary tightening looms. Weakening of the dollar. Opportunities in capital markets. Positive outlook for equities. Key points Strong Q3 GDP before a year-end dip Is recession inevitable in 2023? Slowdown and moderate recession [...]
23 Dec

Attractive valuations for European equities

Recession likely in early 2023 in Europe. Confidence still at half mast. First sign of falling inflation. ECB becomes more aggressive. The rise in yields is not over. Rise in the euro. Attractive PE for equities. Key points The European economy is resilient and still not sliding into the predicted recession Recession likely between Q4 [...]
22 Dec

Significant discount for UK equities

Possible recession in the first half of 2023 in the UK. Decline in capital market tensions. New regime for the BoE. Exit from the crisis for the pound sterling. Expected correction in real estate. Positive conditions for equities. Key points The UK economy is resisting inflationary pressures and rising interest rates Negative GDP to end [...]
21 Dec

The slowdown is confirmed in the USA

After a fall of nearly 100 basis points in US long rates between mid-October and mid-December, ten-year Treasury yields have rebounded in the last three stock market sessions by about 25 bps in a move that is hardly legitimate, given recent macroeconomic data developments in the US. Indeed, the published statistics have (...) Bearish recovery [...]